Do The Thrashers Have Large Talons?

Thursday, January 31, 2008

Real NHL Standings 1-31

Points Above .500 (adjusts for different number of games played)

Eastern Conference
1. +17 OTT (Division Leader)
2. +12 PHI (Division Leader)
3. +12 MON
4. +9 PIT
5. +9 NJD
6. +7 BOS
7. +3 NYI
8. +2 NYR
9. +2 BUF
10 +1 CAR (Division Leader)
11 +0 WAS
12 -1 ATL
13 -3 FLA
14 -4 TOR
15 -6 TBL

Western Conference
1. +28 DET
2. +12 SJS
3. +10 MIN
4. +9 DAL
5. +9 CGY
6. +7 COL
7. +6 ANA
8. +6 VAN
9. +5 PHX
10 +4 CBJ
11 +4 NAS
12 +4 STL
13 -2 EDM
14 -1 CHI
15 -9 LAK


  • Can you remind me how only 7 teams out of 30 are below 500? Is the NHL like Lake Wobegon where all the children are above average?

    By Anonymous d, at 1:44 PM  

  • The over time and shoot out loss games end up handing out 3 points. Teams get points even when they lose those games. So almost every team is "above .500"

    The reason I do the real standing is when teams are all bunched together the number of games played can be very important. Washington is behind in points but has played 2 fewer games so in reality they are ahead of us in terms of "winning percentage"

    And yes every player in the NHL is above average :)

    By Blogger The Falconer, at 2:03 PM  

  • Interesting Falconer.
    I am printing below an analysis based on the ratio of Goals For vs. Goals against. Notice that the top 5 teams are similar to your "points above .500" posting.
    Based on historical data a team that has a ratio above 1.1 has an excellent chance of making the playoffs.

    Ottawa 1.19
    Montreal 1.15
    Philly 1.13
    NJ 1.07
    Pitt 1.06
    Buff 1.04
    Bos 1.01
    NYR 0.98
    Carol 0.95
    Wash 0.93
    Fla 0.88
    Tor 0.86
    T Bay 0.86
    NYI 0.85
    Atl 0.82

    Of the Western Conf. Detroit is 1.58.
    Obviously, this does not take into account any other factors such as injuries, etc.
    there does seem to be more parity this season, which in my mind accounts for the bunching up around the 1.0 figure.
    Outside of the division leaders there are 5 playoff spots available. Looking at the ratios above my money would be on NYI to fall out over the next few weeks, and the Rangers, Bruins, Capitals and Sabres will fight it out for the 7th and 8th playoff spots. If Wash. or Fla. won the SE Division Carolina might also join that fight.
    I am a Thrasher fan, but due to poor coaching and team morale, I am sorry to say that I don't see us in the mix this year.

    By Blogger Tween the Pipes, at 3:01 PM  

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